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San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City — Prediction

San Diego San Diego
2 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
2026-11-08
Competition
Major League Soccer

Kickoff time is not confirmed. The date is shown in UTC.

Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

San Diego
  • St. Louis City SC 0–1 San Diego
  • Vancouver Whitecaps 4–1 San Diego
  • San Diego 2–2 Seattle Sounders
  • Austin 3–3 San Diego
  • San Diego 0–5 Philadelphia Union
Sporting Kansas City
  • Sporting Kansas City 1–1 FC Dallas
  • Minnesota United 3–1 Sporting Kansas City
  • Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Austin
  • Seattle Sounders 2–1 Sporting Kansas City
  • Houston Dynamo 0–2 Sporting Kansas City
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: San Diego 34 · Sporting Kansas City 34. Data saved: 2026-11-05 15:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.81
Model goal expectation · 2 1.01
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
BTTS 60%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: San Diego 2.81 · Sporting Kansas City 1.01.
1 75% · X 15% · 2 11%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 8.7%
2:0 8.6%
3:1 8.2%
3:0 8.1%
1:1 6.2%
1:0 6.1%
4:1 5.7%
4:0 5.7%
2:2 4.4%
3:2 4.2%
1:2 3.2%
4:2 2.9%

About this assessment

Model outcome San Diego Win
Probability 75%
Predicted Odds 1.33

Team Comparison

San Diego Sporting Kansas City
1 League Position 15
63 Points 28
56% Win % 21%
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 2.06

Venue Form

San Diego at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
Sporting Kansas City Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

San Diego
W L D D L
Sporting Kansas City
D L L L W

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A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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