San Diego vs FC Dallas Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 · Major League Soccer
FC Dallas FC Dallas
1 47%
Home Win 2.12
X 24%
Draw 4.09
2 28%
Away Win 3.53
xG Home 1.63
xG Away 1.21
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives San Diego an expected 1.6 goals and FC Dallas an expected 1.2 goals. San Diego have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and FC Dallas at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.5%
1:0 9.5%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.8%
0:1 7.1%
1:2 7%
0:0 5.9%
2:2 5.7%
3:1 5.1%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick San Diego Win
Probability 35%
Predicted Odds 2.86
Market Odds 3.04

Venue Form

San Diego at Home
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate
FC Dallas Away
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

San Diego
W D L L
FC Dallas
W L W

Head to Head

15 Mar 2026 Major League Soccer
FC Dallas 3 : 3 San Diego
D
29 Jun 2025 Major League Soccer
FC Dallas 2 : 3 San Diego
W
04 May 2025 Major League Soccer
San Diego 5 : 0 FC Dallas
L