1
33%
Home Win
3.06
X
29%
Draw
3.42
2
38%
Away Win
2.63
xG Home
1.04
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Samsunspor an expected 1.0 goals and Goztepe an expected 1.1 goals. Samsunspor have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Goztepe at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
0:1
12.9%
1:0
11.7%
0:0
11.3%
1:2
7.6%
0:2
7.4%
2:1
6.9%
2:0
6.1%
2:2
4%
1:3
2.9%
0:3
2.8%
3:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Goztepe Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Samsunspor | Goztepe | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 6 |
| 51 | Points | 55 |
| 38% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
Venue Form
Samsunspor at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Goztepe Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Samsunspor
W
W
Goztepe
D
D
