1
21%
Home Win
4.7
X
21%
Draw
4.8
2
58%
Away Win
1.73
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
2.09
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Samsunspor an expected 1.2 goals and Fenerbahce an expected 2.1 goals. Samsunspor have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Fenerbahce at 58%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.8%
1:1
9.3%
0:2
8.1%
0:1
7.8%
1:3
6.8%
2:2
5.9%
0:3
5.7%
2:1
5.6%
1:0
4.5%
2:3
4.1%
0:0
3.7%
1:4
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fenerbahce Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Samsunspor | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 2 |
| 51 | Points | 74 |
| 38% | Win % | 62% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.26 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Samsunspor at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Fenerbahce Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Samsunspor
W
W
Fenerbahce
W
L
W
