1
38%
Home Win
2.64
X
25%
Draw
4.04
2
37%
Away Win
2.68
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rizespor an expected 1.5 goals and Samsunspor an expected 1.4 goals. Rizespor have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Samsunspor at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
8.3%
1:0
8%
0:1
7.9%
2:2
6.1%
2:0
5.8%
0:2
5.7%
0:0
5.5%
3:1
4.1%
1:3
4%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Rizespor Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Rizespor | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 7 |
| 41 | Points | 51 |
| 29% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Rizespor at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Samsunspor Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Rizespor
D
W
Samsunspor
L
W
W
