1
11%
Home Win
9.35
X
35%
Draw
2.83
2
54%
Away Win
1.85
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
15%
BTTS
17%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives River Plate an expected 0.3 goals and Monterrey an expected 1.0 goals. River Plate have a 11% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Monterrey at 54%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 85%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
27.2%
0:0
26.5%
0:2
14%
1:1
8.2%
1:0
7.9%
0:3
4.8%
1:2
4.2%
1:3
1.4%
0:4
1.2%
2:1
1.2%
2:0
1.2%
2:2
0.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | River Plate Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| River Plate | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 4 | Points | 5 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Monterrey
1 : 1
River Plate
D
River Plate
1 : 0
Monterrey
W