1
44%
Home Win
2.27
X
28%
Draw
3.52
2
28%
Away Win
3.63
xG Home
1.28
xG Away
0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Riga FC an expected 1.3 goals and Vardar Skopje an expected 0.9 goals. Riga FC have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Vardar Skopje at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.8%
1:1
13.1%
0:0
10.8%
0:1
10.2%
2:0
8.8%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
6.2%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
4%
3:0
3.8%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Riga FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Head to Head
Vardar Skopje
2 : 3
Riga
W
