Ried vs RB Salzburg Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 11 Sep 2026 · Bundesliga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.09
xG Away 1.74
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 55%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Ried an expected 1.1 goals and RB Salzburg an expected 1.7 goals. Ried have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and RB Salzburg at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.2%
0:1 10.3%
1:2 9.7%
0:2 8.9%
1:0 6.4%
2:1 6.1%
0:0 5.9%
1:3 5.6%
2:2 5.3%
0:3 5.2%
2:0 3.5%
2:3 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick RB Salzburg Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89
Market Odds 2.01

Team Comparison

Ried RB Salzburg
9 League Position 2
28 Points 37
36% Win % 45%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18

Venue Form

Ried at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
RB Salzburg Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Ried
W D W
RB Salzburg
D