Republic of Ireland vs Qatar Prediction

Republic of Ireland Republic of Ireland
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 28 May 2026 · Friendlies
Qatar Qatar
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Republic of Ireland an expected 1.5 goals and Qatar an expected 1.2 goals. Republic of Ireland have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Qatar at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Republic of Ireland Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Venue Form

Republic of Ireland at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Qatar Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Republic of Ireland
W
Qatar
L