1
5%
Home Win
18.87
X
18%
Draw
5.48
2
76%
Away Win
1.31
xG Home
0.32
xG Away
1.92
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
23%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Red Bull Salzburg an expected 0.3 goals and Real Madrid an expected 1.9 goals. Red Bull Salzburg have a 5% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Real Madrid at 76%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
20.4%
0:2
19.6%
0:3
12.6%
0:0
10.6%
1:1
6.5%
1:2
6.3%
0:4
6%
1:3
4%
1:0
3.4%
1:4
1.9%
2:1
1%
2:2
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Real Madrid Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Red Bull Salzburg | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 4 | Points | 7 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid
5 : 1
Red Bull Salzburg
L