1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
3.36
xG Away
1.51
Over 2.5 Goals
86%
BTTS
75%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Madrid an expected 3.4 goals and Juventus an expected 1.5 goals. Real Madrid have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Juventus at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 86%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:1
7.3%
2:1
6.5%
4:1
6.2%
3:2
5.5%
2:2
4.9%
3:0
4.9%
4:2
4.6%
2:0
4.3%
4:0
4.1%
1:1
3.9%
1:2
2.9%
3:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Real Madrid Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Real Madrid | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
Head to Head
Juventus
3 : 1
Real Madrid
L
Real Madrid
2 : 0
Juventus
W
Real Madrid
3 : 1
Juventus
W