Real Esppor Club vs Independ. Rivadavia Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Thu, 21 May 2026 · Copa Libertadores
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.31
xG Away 0.97
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Esppor Club an expected 1.3 goals and Independ. Rivadavia an expected 1.0 goals. Real Esppor Club have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Independ. Rivadavia at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.5%
1:1 13%
0:0 10.3%
0:1 10%
2:0 8.8%
2:1 8.5%
1:2 6.3%
0:2 4.8%
2:2 4.1%
3:0 3.8%
3:1 3.7%
1:3 2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Real Esppor Club Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Venue Form

Real Esppor Club at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
Independ. Rivadavia Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Real Esppor Club
L D
Independ. Rivadavia
W W