1
40%
Home Win
2.51
X
26%
Draw
3.86
2
34%
Away Win
2.92
xG Home
1.40
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives RB Salzburg an expected 1.4 goals and Sturm Graz an expected 1.3 goals. RB Salzburg have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Sturm Graz at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
9.6%
0:1
8.8%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
7.9%
0:0
6.9%
2:0
6.7%
0:2
5.6%
2:2
5.5%
3:1
4%
1:3
3.3%
3:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | RB Salzburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| RB Salzburg | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 29 | Points | 37 |
| 41% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
