1
36%
Home Win
2.74
X
26%
Draw
3.87
2
38%
Away Win
2.65
xG Home
1.33
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives RB Bragantino an expected 1.3 goals and Gremio an expected 1.4 goals. RB Bragantino have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Gremio at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
0:1
9.2%
1:0
9%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
8.2%
0:0
6.8%
0:2
6.3%
2:0
6%
2:2
5.6%
1:3
3.8%
3:1
3.6%
0:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gremio Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| RB Bragantino | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 9 |
| 48 | Points | 49 |
| 37% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
RB Bragantino at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Gremio Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
RB Bragantino
W
L
W
Gremio
L
D
L