1
37%
Home Win
2.68
X
27%
Draw
3.68
2
36%
Away Win
2.82
xG Home
1.25
xG Away
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives RB Bragantino an expected 1.3 goals and Corinthians an expected 1.2 goals. RB Bragantino have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Corinthians at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
1:0
10.6%
0:1
10.3%
0:0
8.5%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
7.8%
2:0
6.6%
0:2
6.3%
2:2
4.9%
3:1
3.4%
1:3
3.2%
3:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | RB Bragantino Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| RB Bragantino | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 13 |
| 48 | Points | 47 |
| 37% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
RB Bragantino at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Corinthians Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
RB Bragantino
W
L
W
Corinthians
L
D
