1
26%
Home Win
3.82
X
29%
Draw
3.49
2
45%
Away Win
2.21
xG Home
0.90
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rapid Wien an expected 0.9 goals and Sturm Graz an expected 1.3 goals. Rapid Wien have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Sturm Graz at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.5%
1:1
13%
0:0
11.3%
1:0
10.2%
0:2
9.3%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
5.9%
2:0
4.6%
0:3
3.9%
2:2
3.7%
1:3
3.5%
3:1
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sturm Graz Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Rapid Wien | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 2 |
| 27 | Points | 37 |
| 38% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Rapid Wien at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Rapid Wien
W
