1
32%
Home Win
3.1
X
26%
Draw
3.85
2
42%
Away Win
2.39
xG Home
1.22
xG Away
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Qingdao Youth Island an expected 1.2 goals and SHANGHAI SIPG an expected 1.4 goals. Qingdao Youth Island have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and SHANGHAI SIPG at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
0:1
10.1%
1:2
8.8%
1:0
8.7%
2:1
7.5%
0:2
7.2%
0:0
7.1%
2:2
5.4%
2:0
5.3%
1:3
4.2%
0:3
3.4%
3:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SHANGHAI SIPG Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Qingdao Youth Island | SHANGHAI SIPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 12 |
| 21 | Points | 15 |
| 25% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
Qingdao Youth Island at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
SHANGHAI SIPG Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Qingdao Youth Island
W
D
SHANGHAI SIPG
W
