Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 30 May 2026 · Super League
1 32%
Home Win 3.13
X 24%
Draw 4.2
2 44%
Away Win 2.26
xG Home 1.39
xG Away 1.67
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 61%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Qingdao Youth Island an expected 1.4 goals and Shanghai Shenhua an expected 1.7 goals. Qingdao Youth Island have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Shanghai Shenhua at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.9%
1:2 9.1%
0:1 7.9%
2:1 7.6%
0:2 6.6%
1:0 6.5%
2:2 6.3%
1:3 5.1%
0:0 4.7%
2:0 4.5%
0:3 3.6%
2:3 3.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Qingdao Youth Island Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Qingdao Youth Island Shanghai Shenhua
4 League Position 11
28 Points 19
30% Win % 42%
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63

Venue Form

Qingdao Youth Island at Home
W2 D2 L0 (4 games)
50% win rate
Shanghai Shenhua Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Qingdao Youth Island
D W W D
Shanghai Shenhua
W D

Head to Head

17 Oct 2025 Super League
Qingdao Youth Island 1 : 2 Shanghai Shenhua
W
10 May 2025 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua 4 : 0 Qingdao Youth Island
L
30 Jun 2024 Super League
Qingdao Youth Island 0 : 1 Shanghai Shenhua
W