1
32%
Home Win
3.12
X
27%
Draw
3.67
2
41%
Away Win
2.46
xG Home
1.13
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Qingdao Jonoon an expected 1.1 goals and Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 1.3 goals. Qingdao Jonoon have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Chongqing Tongliang Long at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
0:1
11.4%
1:0
9.9%
0:0
8.7%
1:2
8.4%
0:2
7.5%
2:1
7.3%
2:0
5.6%
2:2
4.8%
1:3
3.7%
0:3
3.3%
3:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Qingdao Jonoon Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Qingdao Jonoon | Chongqing Tongliang Long | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 2 |
| 10 | Points | 24 |
| 33% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |