1
27%
Home Win
3.7
X
24%
Draw
4.19
2
49%
Away Win
2.04
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
1.71
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Preston an expected 1.2 goals and Southampton an expected 1.7 goals. Preston have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Southampton at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
1:2
9.5%
0:1
9.3%
0:2
7.9%
2:1
6.7%
1:0
6.5%
2:2
5.8%
1:3
5.4%
0:0
5.4%
0:3
4.5%
2:0
3.9%
2:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Southampton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Preston | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 4 |
| 60 | Points | 80 |
| 33% | Win % | 48% |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Preston at Home
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Southampton Away
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Preston
W
L
L
L
Southampton
D
D
W
W
