1
83%
Home Win
1.2
X
13%
Draw
7.79
2
4%
Away Win
26.39
xG Home
2.41
xG Away
0.34
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
27%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Portugal an expected 2.4 goals and Croatia an expected 0.3 goals. Portugal have a 83% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Croatia at 4%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
18.5%
1:0
15.3%
3:0
14.9%
4:0
9%
2:1
6.4%
0:0
6.4%
1:1
5.3%
3:1
5.1%
4:1
3.1%
0:1
2.2%
2:2
1.1%
1:2
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Portugal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Portugal | Croatia | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 2 |
| 5 | Points | 6 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Head to Head
Croatia
1 : 1
Portugal
D
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
W
Portugal
1 : 2
Croatia
L