1
47%
Home Win
2.12
X
27%
Draw
3.71
2
26%
Away Win
3.88
xG Home
1.41
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Philadelphia Union an expected 1.4 goals and FC Cincinnati an expected 1.0 goals. Philadelphia Union have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and FC Cincinnati at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.1%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
9.3%
2:0
9.2%
0:1
9%
2:1
8.9%
1:2
6.1%
3:0
4.3%
0:2
4.3%
2:2
4.3%
3:1
4.2%
3:2
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Philadelphia Union Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Philadelphia Union | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 66 | Points | 65 |
| 59% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Philadelphia Union at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
FC Cincinnati Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Philadelphia Union
D
D
W
FC Cincinnati
D
W
D
