1
46%
Home Win
2.17
X
36%
Draw
2.78
2
18%
Away Win
5.58
xG Home
0.96
xG Away
0.48
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paris Saint Germain an expected 1.0 goals and Real Madrid an expected 0.5 goals. Paris Saint Germain have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 36%, and Real Madrid at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 82%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
23.7%
1:0
22.7%
0:1
11.4%
1:1
10.9%
2:0
10.9%
2:1
5.2%
3:0
3.5%
0:2
2.7%
1:2
2.6%
3:1
1.7%
2:2
1.3%
4:0
0.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris Saint Germain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Paris Saint Germain | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid
3 : 1
Paris Saint Germain
L
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 0
Real Madrid
W
Real Madrid
2 : 2
Paris Saint Germain
D