1
67%
Home Win
1.5
X
26%
Draw
3.85
2
7%
Away Win
13.35
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
BTTS
20%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paris Saint Germain an expected 1.4 goals and Inter Miami an expected 0.3 goals. Paris Saint Germain have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Inter Miami at 7%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 75%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
25.3%
2:0
18.2%
0:0
17.6%
3:0
8.7%
1:1
7.6%
2:1
5.5%
0:1
5.3%
4:0
3.1%
3:1
2.6%
1:2
1.1%
4:1
0.9%
2:2
0.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris Saint Germain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Paris Saint Germain | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 6 | Points | 5 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |