1
49%
Home Win
2.06
X
23%
Draw
4.38
2
29%
Away Win
3.51
xG Home
1.83
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paris Saint Germain an expected 1.8 goals and Arsenal an expected 1.4 goals. Paris Saint Germain have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Arsenal at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
7.6%
1:2
7%
2:0
6.9%
2:2
6.4%
3:1
5.7%
0:1
5.6%
3:0
4.2%
0:0
4.2%
3:2
3.9%
0:2
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Arsenal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Head to Head
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 1
Arsenal
W
Arsenal
0 : 1
Paris Saint Germain
W
Arsenal
2 : 0
Paris Saint Germain
L
