Panama vs Honduras Prediction

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4 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 28 Jun 2025 · CONCACAF Gold Cup
1 88%
Home Win 1.14
X 4%
Draw 26.95
2 2%
Away Win 54.64
xG Home 5.00
xG Away 0.87
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Panama an expected 5.0 goals and Honduras an expected 0.9 goals. Panama have a 88% win probability, draw stands at 4%, and Honduras at 2%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 86%.

Correct Score Predictions

4:0 7.3%
4:1 6.4%
3:0 5.9%
3:1 5.1%
2:0 3.5%
2:1 3.1%
4:2 2.8%
3:2 2.2%
1:0 1.4%
2:2 1.3%
1:1 1.2%
4:3 0.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Panama Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Panama Honduras
1 League Position 2
9 Points 6
100% Win % 67%
3.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33

Head to Head

25 Mar 2022 World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
Panama 1 : 1 Honduras
D
13 Nov 2021 World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
Honduras 2 : 3 Panama
W
18 Jul 2021 CONCACAF Gold Cup
Panama 2 : 3 Honduras
L