1
69%
Home Win
1.45
X
18%
Draw
5.64
2
13%
Away Win
7.61
xG Home
2.35
xG Away
0.92
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Palmeiras an expected 2.3 goals and Vasco DA Gama an expected 0.9 goals. Palmeiras have a 69% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Vasco DA Gama at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.5%
2:1
9.7%
1:0
8.9%
1:1
8.2%
3:0
8.2%
3:1
7.6%
4:0
4.8%
2:2
4.5%
4:1
4.4%
0:0
3.8%
1:2
3.8%
0:1
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Palmeiras Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 69% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.45 |
| Market Odds | 1.54 |
Team Comparison
| Palmeiras | Vasco DA Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 14 |
| 76 | Points | 45 |
| 61% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
Venue Form
Palmeiras at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Vasco DA Gama Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Palmeiras
W
D
W
Vasco DA Gama
D
L