Palmeiras vs Junior Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Thu, 28 May 2026 · CONMEBOL Libertadores
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.31
xG Away 0.97
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Palmeiras an expected 1.3 goals and Junior an expected 1.0 goals. Palmeiras have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Junior at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.5%
1:1 13%
0:0 10.3%
0:1 10%
2:0 8.8%
2:1 8.5%
1:2 6.3%
0:2 4.8%
2:2 4.1%
3:0 3.8%
3:1 3.7%
1:3 2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Palmeiras Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Venue Form

Palmeiras at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Junior Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Palmeiras
W L
Junior
L

Head to Head

09 Apr 2026 CONMEBOL Libertadores
Junior 1 : 1 Palmeiras
D
11 Apr 2019 CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 3 : 0 Junior
L
07 Mar 2019 CONMEBOL Libertadores
Junior 0 : 2 Palmeiras
W