1
71%
Home Win
1.4
X
18%
Draw
5.62
2
11%
Away Win
9.21
xG Home
2.23
xG Away
0.74
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Palmeiras an expected 2.2 goals and Internacional an expected 0.7 goals. Palmeiras have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Internacional at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.8%
1:0
11.5%
3:0
9.5%
2:1
9.4%
1:1
8.5%
3:1
7%
4:0
5.3%
0:0
5.1%
4:1
3.9%
0:1
3.8%
2:2
3.5%
1:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Palmeiras Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Palmeiras | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 16 |
| 76 | Points | 44 |
| 61% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Palmeiras at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Internacional Away
W0
D2
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Palmeiras
W
D
W
Internacional
L
L
D
D
L
