1
43%
Home Win
2.34
X
29%
Draw
3.42
2
28%
Away Win
3.57
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
0.92
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Palmeiras an expected 1.2 goals and Cruzeiro an expected 0.9 goals. Palmeiras have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Cruzeiro at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.3%
1:1
13.2%
0:0
11.8%
0:1
10.9%
2:0
8.7%
2:1
8%
1:2
6.1%
0:2
5%
2:2
3.7%
3:0
3.5%
3:1
3.2%
1:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Palmeiras Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Palmeiras | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 76 | Points | 70 |
| 61% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Palmeiras at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Cruzeiro Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Palmeiras
W
D
W
Cruzeiro
W
W
W
Head to Head
Palmeiras
0 : 0
Cruzeiro
D
Cruzeiro
2 : 1
Palmeiras
L
Cruzeiro
1 : 2
Palmeiras
W
