1
35%
Home Win
2.84
X
45%
Draw
2.23
2
20%
Away Win
4.98
xG Home
0.64
xG Away
0.41
Over 2.5 Goals
9%
BTTS
16%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Palmeiras an expected 0.6 goals and Botafogo an expected 0.4 goals. Palmeiras have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 45%, and Botafogo at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 91%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
34.9%
1:0
22.4%
0:1
14.4%
1:1
9.2%
2:0
7.2%
0:2
3%
2:1
2.9%
1:2
1.9%
3:0
1.5%
3:1
0.6%
2:2
0.6%
0:3
0.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Botafogo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Palmeiras | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 5 | Points | 6 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Palmeiras
0 : 0
Botafogo
D
Palmeiras
1 : 3
Botafogo
L
Palmeiras
2 : 2
Botafogo
D