1
48%
Home Win
2.09
X
24%
Draw
4.22
2
28%
Away Win
3.52
xG Home
1.72
xG Away
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives OH Leuven an expected 1.7 goals and Genk an expected 1.3 goals. OH Leuven have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Genk at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.6%
2:0
7.4%
1:2
7%
0:1
6.4%
2:2
6%
3:1
5.4%
0:0
5%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Genk Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Venue Form
OH Leuven at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Genk Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
OH Leuven
W
L
L
D
Genk
D
L
W
L
Head to Head
Genk
0 : 0
OH Leuven
D
Genk
2 : 1
OH Leuven
L
OH Leuven
1 : 2
Genk
W