1
33%
Home Win
3.07
X
27%
Draw
3.69
2
40%
Away Win
2.48
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NK Lokomotiva an expected 1.2 goals and NK Varaždin an expected 1.3 goals. NK Lokomotiva have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and NK Varaždin at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
0:1
11.2%
1:0
9.8%
0:0
8.5%
1:2
8.4%
2:1
7.4%
0:2
7.3%
2:0
5.6%
2:2
4.9%
1:3
3.7%
0:3
3.2%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | NK Varaždin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| NK Lokomotiva | NK Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 3 |
| 44 | Points | 54 |
| 28% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
Venue Form
NK Varaždin Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
NK Varaždin
D
W
