1
22%
Home Win
4.46
X
23%
Draw
4.32
2
54%
Away Win
1.84
xG Home
1.07
xG Away
1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Hajduk Split an expected 1.1 goals and Dinamo Zagreb an expected 1.8 goals. HNK Hajduk Split have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Dinamo Zagreb at 54%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
0:1
10.2%
1:2
9.8%
0:2
9.2%
1:0
6.1%
1:3
5.9%
2:1
5.8%
0:0
5.7%
0:3
5.5%
2:2
5.3%
2:0
3.3%
2:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Dinamo Zagreb Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| HNK Hajduk Split | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 68 | Points | 86 |
| 56% | Win % | 75% |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.58 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.78 |
Venue Form
HNK Hajduk Split at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
HNK Hajduk Split
W
W