1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.25
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NK Lokomotiva an expected 1.3 goals and Istra 1961 an expected 1.1 goals. NK Lokomotiva have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Istra 1961 at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
1:0
12%
0:1
10.5%
0:0
9.6%
2:1
8.2%
2:0
7.5%
1:2
7.1%
0:2
5.7%
2:2
4.5%
3:1
3.4%
3:0
3.2%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | NK Lokomotiva Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| NK Lokomotiva | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 6 |
| 44 | Points | 43 |
| 28% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |