1
14%
Home Win
7.38
X
20%
Draw
5
2
66%
Away Win
1.51
xG Home
0.79
xG Away
2.04
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nigeria an expected 0.8 goals and Morocco an expected 2.0 goals. Nigeria have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Morocco at 66%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
12.2%
0:1
12%
1:2
9.7%
1:1
9.5%
0:3
8.3%
1:3
6.6%
0:0
5.9%
1:0
4.7%
0:4
4.3%
2:2
3.9%
2:1
3.8%
1:4
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Morocco Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Nigeria | Morocco | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 100% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Morocco
4 : 0
Nigeria
L
Nigeria
4 : 3
Morocco
W