1
26%
Home Win
3.87
X
25%
Draw
4.01
2
49%
Away Win
2.03
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nieciecza an expected 1.1 goals and Legia Warszawa an expected 1.6 goals. Nieciecza have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Legia Warszawa at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
0:1
10.9%
1:2
9.5%
0:2
8.7%
1:0
7.4%
0:0
6.8%
2:1
6.4%
2:2
5.1%
1:3
5%
0:3
4.6%
2:0
4%
2:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Legia Warszawa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Nieciecza | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 6 |
| 34 | Points | 49 |
| 26% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Nieciecza at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Legia Warszawa Away
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Nieciecza
L
L
Legia Warszawa
W
W
L
W
