1
32%
Home Win
3.14
X
20%
Draw
5.11
2
49%
Away Win
2.06
xG Home
1.91
xG Away
2.36
Over 2.5 Goals
80%
BTTS
77%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nieciecza an expected 1.9 goals and Lechia Gdansk an expected 2.4 goals. Nieciecza have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Lechia Gdansk at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 80%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
7.4%
2:2
7.1%
1:1
6.3%
2:1
6%
1:3
5.9%
2:3
5.6%
3:2
4.5%
0:2
3.9%
3:1
3.8%
3:3
3.6%
1:4
3.5%
0:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lechia Gdansk Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Nieciecza | Lechia Gdansk | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 16 |
| 34 | Points | 38 |
| 26% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.91 |
Venue Form
Nieciecza at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Lechia Gdansk Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Nieciecza
L
L
Lechia Gdansk
L
L
D
Head to Head
Lechia Gdansk
5 : 1
Nieciecza
L
Lechia Gdansk
3 : 1
Nieciecza
L
Nieciecza
0 : 0
Lechia Gdansk
D
