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Newcastle United vs Everton — Prediction

Newcastle United Newcastle United
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Mon, 02 Nov 2026 · Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Everton Everton

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
2 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Newcastle United
  • Everton 3–1 Newcastle United
  • Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle United
  • Newcastle United 2–1 Hull City
  • Leeds 4–1 Newcastle United
  • Millwall 0–1 Newcastle United
Everton
  • Everton 3–1 Newcastle United
  • Arsenal 2–0 Everton
  • Everton 1–0 Ipswich
  • Everton 1–0 Wolves
  • Tottenham 0–0 Everton
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Newcastle United 8 · Everton 8. Data saved: 2026-11-02 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Newcastle United 55% · 2026-11-02 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 40%
Home Win 2.49
X 27%
Draw 3.74
2 33%
Away Win 3.02
Model goal expectation · 1 1.34
Model goal expectation · 2 1.19
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 51%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Newcastle United 1.34 · Everton 1.19.
1 40% · X 27% · 2 33%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.7%
1:0 10.7%
0:1 9.5%
2:1 8.5%
0:0 7.9%
1:2 7.6%
2:0 7.1%
0:2 5.6%
2:2 5.1%
3:1 3.8%
3:0 3.2%
1:3 3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Newcastle United Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5

Team Comparison

Newcastle United Everton
12 League Position 14
11 Points 10
38% Win % 25%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13

Venue Form

Newcastle United at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Everton Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Newcastle United
L W W L W
Everton
W L W W D

Head to Head

29 Oct 2026 efl_cup
Everton 3 : 1 Newcastle United
L