1
7%
Home Win
15.22
X
10%
Draw
9.85
2
82%
Away Win
1.21
xG Home
0.96
xG Away
3.45
Over 2.5 Goals
81%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives New Zealand an expected 1.0 goals and Egypt an expected 3.4 goals. New Zealand have a 7% win probability, draw stands at 10%, and Egypt at 82%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 81%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:3
8.3%
1:3
8%
0:2
7.2%
0:4
7.1%
1:2
7%
1:4
6.9%
0:1
4.2%
1:1
4%
2:3
3.9%
2:2
3.4%
2:4
3.3%
2:1
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Egypt Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| New Zealand | Egypt | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 1 | Points | 5 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Head to Head
Egypt
1 : 0
New Zealand
L