1
2%
Home Win
46.95
X
5%
Draw
19.65
2
90%
Away Win
1.11
xG Home
0.64
xG Away
4.13
Over 2.5 Goals
83%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives New Zealand an expected 0.6 goals and Belgium an expected 4.1 goals. New Zealand have a 2% win probability, draw stands at 5%, and Belgium at 90%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–4. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 83%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:4
10.2%
0:3
9.9%
0:2
7.2%
1:4
6.6%
1:3
6.4%
1:2
4.6%
0:1
3.5%
1:1
2.2%
2:4
2.1%
2:3
2%
2:2
1.5%
0:0
0.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Belgium Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| New Zealand | Belgium | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 1 | Points | 5 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |