1
55%
Home Win
1.83
X
19%
Draw
5.18
2
26%
Away Win
3.83
xG Home
2.41
xG Away
1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
BTTS
74%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Netherlands an expected 2.4 goals and Morocco an expected 1.7 goals. Netherlands have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Morocco at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 77%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.3%
1:1
6.8%
2:2
6.8%
3:1
6.6%
1:2
5.7%
3:2
5.5%
2:0
5%
1:0
4.1%
3:0
4%
4:1
4%
2:3
3.8%
4:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Netherlands Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Netherlands | Morocco | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Head to Head
Morocco
1 : 2
Netherlands
W