1
49%
Home Win
2.04
X
19%
Draw
5.17
2
31%
Away Win
3.18
xG Home
2.41
xG Away
1.93
Over 2.5 Goals
81%
BTTS
78%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Netherlands an expected 2.4 goals and Japan an expected 1.9 goals. Netherlands have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Japan at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 81%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
7.3%
2:2
7%
1:1
6.1%
3:1
5.9%
1:2
5.8%
3:2
5.7%
2:3
4.5%
2:0
3.8%
1:3
3.8%
3:3
3.6%
4:1
3.5%
4:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Netherlands Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Netherlands | Japan | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 5 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Head to Head
Netherlands
1 : 0
Japan
W