Nashville SC vs Montréal Impact Prediction

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2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Thu, 23 Jul 2026 · Major League Soccer
1 68%
Home Win 1.47
X 19%
Draw 5.27
2 13%
Away Win 7.78
xG Home 2.15
xG Away 0.81
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 49%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Nashville SC an expected 2.2 goals and Montréal Impact an expected 0.8 goals. Nashville SC have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Montréal Impact at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 12%
1:0 11.1%
2:1 9.7%
1:1 9%
3:0 8.6%
3:1 7%
0:0 5.2%
4:0 4.6%
0:1 4.2%
2:2 3.9%
4:1 3.7%
1:2 3.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Nashville SC Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Nashville SC Montréal Impact
6 League Position 13
54 Points 28
47% Win % 18%
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76

Venue Form

Nashville SC at Home
W3 D1 L0 (4 games)
75% win rate
Montréal Impact Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Nashville SC
W W D W
Montréal Impact
L L

Head to Head

04 Oct 2025 Major League Soccer
CF Montreal 1 : 1 Nashville SC
D
23 Mar 2025 Major League Soccer
Nashville SC 3 : 0 CF Montreal
L
25 May 2024 Major League Soccer
CF Montreal 0 : 0 Nashville SC
D