1
50%
Home Win
2
X
21%
Draw
4.83
2
29%
Away Win
3.42
xG Home
2.15
xG Away
1.62
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS
71%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nashville SC an expected 2.2 goals and Chicago Fire an expected 1.6 goals. Nashville SC have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Chicago Fire at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.6%
1:1
8%
2:2
7%
1:2
6.5%
3:1
6.2%
2:0
5.3%
3:2
5%
1:0
4.9%
3:0
3.8%
2:3
3.8%
0:1
3.7%
1:3
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nashville SC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Nashville SC | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 8 |
| 54 | Points | 53 |
| 47% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
Nashville SC at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Chicago Fire Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Nashville SC
W
W
D
W
Chicago Fire
D
