1
68%
Home Win
1.47
X
18%
Draw
5.43
2
14%
Away Win
7.33
xG Home
2.26
xG Away
0.91
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nashville SC an expected 2.3 goals and Atlanta United FC an expected 0.9 goals. Nashville SC have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Atlanta United FC at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.8%
2:1
9.8%
1:0
9.5%
1:1
8.6%
3:0
8.1%
3:1
7.4%
4:0
4.6%
2:2
4.4%
0:0
4.2%
4:1
4.2%
1:2
3.9%
0:1
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nashville SC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Nashville SC | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 14 |
| 54 | Points | 28 |
| 47% | Win % | 15% |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
Nashville SC at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Atlanta United FC Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Nashville SC
W
W
D
W
Atlanta United FC
L
W
L
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC
0 : 2
Nashville SC
W
Nashville SC
0 : 1
Atlanta United FC
W
Atlanta United FC
1 : 1
Nashville SC
D