1
28%
Home Win
3.51
X
24%
Draw
4.25
2
48%
Away Win
2.08
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.74
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Motor Lublin an expected 1.3 goals and Jagiellonia an expected 1.7 goals. Motor Lublin have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Jagiellonia at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
1:2
9.4%
0:1
8.4%
0:2
7.3%
2:1
7%
1:0
6.2%
2:2
6.1%
1:3
5.5%
0:0
4.8%
0:3
4.2%
2:0
4%
2:3
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Jagiellonia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Motor Lublin | Jagiellonia | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 3 |
| 43 | Points | 56 |
| 29% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Motor Lublin at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Jagiellonia Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Motor Lublin
L
L
Jagiellonia
W
W
