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Motherwell vs St. Mirren — Prediction

Motherwell Motherwell
1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
St. Mirren St. Mirren

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Motherwell
  • ST Johnstone 2–2 Motherwell
  • Motherwell 0–2 Heart of Midlothian
  • Dundee 2–1 Motherwell
  • Rangers FC 1–0 Motherwell
  • Motherwell 0–4 Aberdeen
St. Mirren
  • St. Mirren 1–1 Hibernian
  • St. Mirren 2–1 Dundee
  • St. Mirren 0–3 Dundee Utd
  • St. Mirren 1–2 Celtic
  • Rangers FC 1–0 St. Mirren
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Motherwell 33 · St. Mirren 33. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Motherwell 61% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 70%
Home Win 1.44
X 21%
Draw 4.74
2 9%
Away Win 10.81
Model goal expectation · 1 1.81
Model goal expectation · 2 0.49
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 32%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Motherwell 1.81 · St. Mirren 0.49.
1 70% · X 21% · 2 9%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 18.2%
2:0 16.5%
0:0 10.1%
3:0 9.9%
1:1 8.9%
2:1 8%
0:1 4.9%
3:1 4.8%
4:0 4.5%
4:1 2.2%
1:2 2.2%
2:2 1.9%

About this assessment

Model outcome Motherwell Win
Probability 70%
Predicted Odds 1.43

Team Comparison

Motherwell St. Mirren
4 League Position 10
54 Points 30
42% Win % 21%
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45

Venue Form

Motherwell at Home
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate
St. Mirren Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Motherwell
D L L L L
St. Mirren
D W L L L

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