1
84%
Home Win
1.19
X
13%
Draw
7.9
2
3%
Away Win
30.3
xG Home
2.38
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Morocco an expected 2.4 goals and Tanzania an expected 0.3 goals. Morocco have a 84% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Tanzania at 3%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
19.4%
1:0
16.3%
3:0
15.4%
4:0
9.2%
0:0
6.8%
2:1
5.8%
1:1
4.9%
3:1
4.6%
4:1
2.8%
0:1
2%
2:2
0.9%
1:2
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Morocco Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Morocco | Tanzania | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 2 |
| 67% | Win % | 0% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
Tanzania
0 : 1
Morocco
W
Morocco
2 : 0
Tanzania
W
Morocco
3 : 0
Tanzania
W