1
21%
Home Win
4.83
X
24%
Draw
4.26
2
56%
Away Win
1.79
xG Home
0.97
xG Away
1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Montréal Impact an expected 1.0 goals and Charlotte an expected 1.8 goals. Montréal Impact have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Charlotte at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
11.6%
1:1
11.2%
0:2
10.1%
1:2
9.8%
0:0
6.6%
1:0
6.4%
0:3
5.9%
1:3
5.7%
2:1
5.4%
2:2
4.7%
2:0
3.1%
2:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Charlotte Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Montréal Impact | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 4 |
| 28 | Points | 59 |
| 18% | Win % | 56% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Montréal Impact at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Charlotte Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Montréal Impact
W
W
W
Charlotte
L
L
L
W