Montréal Impact vs Charlotte Prediction

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0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Wed, 09 Sep 2026 · Major League Soccer
1 21%
Home Win 4.83
X 24%
Draw 4.26
2 56%
Away Win 1.79
xG Home 0.97
xG Away 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 51%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Montréal Impact an expected 1.0 goals and Charlotte an expected 1.8 goals. Montréal Impact have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Charlotte at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 11.6%
1:1 11.2%
0:2 10.1%
1:2 9.8%
0:0 6.6%
1:0 6.4%
0:3 5.9%
1:3 5.7%
2:1 5.4%
2:2 4.7%
2:0 3.1%
2:3 2.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Charlotte Win
Probability 56%
Predicted Odds 1.79
Market Odds 1.9

Team Comparison

Montréal Impact Charlotte
13 League Position 4
28 Points 59
18% Win % 56%
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35

Venue Form

Montréal Impact at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
Charlotte Away
W1 D0 L3 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

Montréal Impact
W W W
Charlotte
L L L W